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Free Agent Profile: Tom Glavine

Tom Glavine

It’s hard to believe that Tom Glavine is still going strong at age 40, and it’s amazing that after 20 seasons, he’s still one of the top southpaws in baseball.  Glavine has pitched for only 2 teams in his 20 MLB seasons, the Braves and the Mets.  Based on what he’s said since becoming a free agent, there’s no reason to believe that’s going to change.  So will it be Shea Stadium or Turner Field that gets the most of Tom Glavine in 2007?  And what exactly can we expect of him next season? 

Let’s take a look at his 2006 numbers and figure it out…

  • Record: 15-7
  • ERA: 3.82
  • WHIP: 1.33
  • BA Against: .267
  • Games: 32 (32 starts)
  • Innings Pitched: 198
  • Hits: 202
  • Runs: 94 (84 earned)
  • Walks: 62
  • Strikeouts: 131
  • Homeruns allowed: 22

Tom Glavine is still going strong, as is evidenced by his base statistics for this past season.  He still has the giddy-up to strikeout hitters, the control to keep his walks down, and the stuff to be an effective top-of-the-rotation starter.  Glavine may not be the top-tier ace he was a few seasons ago, but he’s certainly not caving-in just yet. 

Here are Glavine’s situational statistics for this season (opponents BA)…

  • Bases Empty: .264
  • Runners On: .272
  • RISP: .239 — great
  • RISP w/2 outs: .185 — awesome
  • Bases Loaded: .278

While Glavine’s numbers without RISP are nothing to brag about, he does a phenomenal job keeping runners from crossing the plate.  Glavine is one of the best pitchers in baseball going from the stretch and he also has a sneaky pick-off move to first base. 

For some more numbers on the veteran southpaw, here are his splits (ERA/WHIP/BAA if applicable)…

  • Vs. Lefthanded hitters: .200 — terrific
  • Vs. Righthanded hitters: .287 — not so terrific
  • Home (Shea Stadium): 2.88/1.24/.257
  • Away: 4.72/1.43/.277 — keep him home
  • Day Games: 4.00/1.43/.291 — he’s nocturnal
  • Night Games: 3.71/1.28/.252

That’s just about it statistically for Glavine in 2006.  He’s pretty impressive for a 40-year-old, no?  Too bad he’s limiting his potential 2007 homes to two teams leaving 28 clubs without a chance to sign him. 

Tom Glavine’s choices: New York or Atlanta? 

This is probably the easiest free agent to predict — I’ve got a 50/50 shot.  Glavine could either return to Atlanta or stay in the Big Apple and whichever he chooses, he’s certain to get a pleasant greeting when he’s the visiting pitcher at the other team’s ballpark.  So where will he end up…?

My prediction: New York.  The Mets need a starting pitcher in the worst way, and I like Omar Minaya’s chances of bringing Glavine back.  2years 20Million is my guess. 

Stats prediction: (14-9) with a 3.60ERA and a 1.40WHIP. 

– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –

Today’s moves…

The Phillies snagged Wes Helms off the market for 5.5Million over 2years with an option for a 3rd year worth 2.5Million. 

___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___

Tomorrow’s Profile: Ray Durham

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Trivia Time!

Yesterday’s question was…

Julio Lugo’s brother Ruddy Lugo is a reliever for which team?

The correct answer…

The Devil Rays — Julio’s former team. 

Today’s question is…

Can you name all 5 members of the Braves’ 1991 starting rotation?

Hint: one of them is Glavine and only one of the others is still pitching

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